Toronto, December 12, 2019 - As part of the 19th edition of its Technology, Media and Telecommunications (TMT) Predictions, Deloitte predicts that more than 750 million advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chips will be sold in 2020 , more than double the number sold in 2017, and that these sales will represent 2.6 billion US dollars. The next generation of cutting-edge AI chips bring AI directly into devices, be it a smartphone, robot or sensor, making it possible to perform or accelerate machine learning tasks without having to an internet connection is required.
"We anticipate that sales of advanced AI chips will continue to grow at about twice the rate of the overall chip industry over the next several years," said Duncan Stewart, research director, Technologies, Media. and telecommunications at Deloitte Canada. We anticipate that at least 1.5 billion units will be sold by 2024, and that number could be much higher. "
Private 5G networks are a game-changer for businesses
Deloitte predicts that more than 100 companies globally will begin testing the deployment of private 5G networks by the end of 2020. The technology is in its infancy and spending will only rise at this time. to a few hundred million dollars, but by 2024, the value of cellular mobile equipment and services for private networks will reach tens of billions of US dollars per year.
With the likelihood that hundreds of thousands of companies will deploy private 5G cellular networks over the next decade, and with the introduction of capabilities that will be critical in an industrial environment (manufacturing plants, logistics centers, port facilities, etc. .), this technology could redefine the way companies do business.
"Private 5G networks could be the most disruptive mobile technology to date, providing businesses around the world with unprecedented opportunities for growth and productivity gains," said Anders McKenzie, Managing Partner of Technology, Media and Telecommunications at Deloitte Canada. As has been the case with private wired networks in the past, private 5G networks are likely to be more secure, cheaper, and offer new features. Therefore, history is likely to view 5G not only as a technological marvel, but also as a technology that changed the way the industry does business. "
Aerial television: the surprising persistence of terrestrial television
Aerial television will flourish in 2020. Deloitte predicts that at least
1.6 billion people around the world, or around 450 million households, will watch at least some of their television broadcasts through an antenna. Eight percent of Canadians will watch at least some over-the-air television, which is widely available, convenient and free in urban areas, although often they will also use video-on-demand services like Netflix as a supplement.
In fact, the over-the-air TV service will support the growth of the TV advertising industry, although TV viewing minutes are expected to decline by 5 % in 2020 in the United States, with similar trends in Canada and other countries. This growth is expected, because television commercials do not experience the same decrease as advertisements in some other traditional media. Deloitte predicts that global TV advertising revenue will grow in dollars (but not as a proportion of the total advertising market) by more than US $ 4 billion in 2020 and reach US $ 185 billion in 2021.
Deloitte's Annual TMT Predictions provide an overview of key trends in the global technology, media and telecommunications industry. They are supported by global research including in-depth interviews with clients, industry analysts, global industry leaders and TMT professionals from Deloitte member firms. Over the past five years, Deloitte's TMT Predictions have been proven to be accurate at over 80 % on average.
Here are the other top TMT predictions for 2020:
- High speed from low orbit: connecting the world to the world? - Deloitte predicts that by the end of 2020 there will be more than 700 satellites in low earth orbit capable of providing global broadband internet service, up from around 200 by the end of 2019. While broadband providers While satellite could compete for new income opportunities, it is the hundreds of millions of people who live in unserved or underserved areas who could benefit the most.
- Excuse me, is this an ad in your video service? - Deloitte predicts that revenue from ad-supported video services (individual entertainment on demand) will reach an estimated US $ 32 billion in 2020. In North America, direct-to-consumer video service offerings have followed a pattern. ad-free subscription so far, but the on-demand personal entertainment industry is predicted to grow faster here than in any other region, growing nearly 60 % compared to 2018, to reach nearly 10 billion US dollars.
- Techno spree: innovation promotes "pedal energy" - Deloitte predicts that there will be tens of billions more bicycle trips per year in 2022 than in 2019, a one percentage point increase in the proportion of people who cycle to work. Although only 1 % of Canada's total workforce, numbering around 16 million1, currently use bicycles to get to work, technology (and electric bicycles in particular) could encourage more Canadians to commute to work. pedal.
- Accessories are popular: smartphone supplements will pay off large - Deloitte predicts that smartphone apps, games, accessories and ancillary devices will generate US $ 459 billion in revenue in 2020 alone, an increase of 15 % (US $ 58 billion) from 2019. Headphones wired, phone cases, screen protectors and memory cards are the most popular items in Canada. Who buys the most? 18 to 24 year olds, who own an average of eight smartphone accessories.
- Professional service robots are coming… everywhere - Deloitte predicts that of the nearly one million robots to be sold to businesses in 2020, just over half will be professional service units (multipurpose, cart-like robots), which will likely outperform industrial robots (equipped with of arms) in revenue by 2022. In 2018, at 172 units per 10,000 employees, the density of robots in manufacturing in Canada was above the global average of 99 robots per 10,000 employees.
- Audiobooks and podcasts in your ears - Deloitte predicts that the global audiobook market will grow by 25 % in 2020 to reach US $ 5 billion. The global podcasting market is also expected to grow by 30 % to reach US $ 1.1 billion in 2020. Eighteen percent of Canadians say they listen to podcasts, of which 60 % say they listen to every podcast. week or even more frequently.
- Broadcast networks struggle to satisfy insatiable appetite for video - Deloitte predicts that the global content delivery network market will reach US $ 14 billion in 2020, an increase of over 25 % from the estimated US $ 11 billion in 2019. The market is also expected to exceed double - to reach US $ 30 billion - by 2025.
Deloitte's TMT Predictions Canada Tour kicks off January 14 in Toronto, followed by stops in Montreal, Quebec City, Vancouver, Ottawa, Kitchener-Waterloo and other Canadian cities.
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